Indicators

East Asia Update - November 2006

Fiji: Key Indicators

	1997	1998	1999	2000	2001												2001	2002	2003	2004	2005 /e	2006 /p	2007/p
	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year

Output, Employment and Prices
GDP ( % change previous year)	-0.9	1.4	9.6	-1.7	2.0													3.2	1.0	5.3	0.7	3.1	2.2
Tourist arrivals ('000)	359.4	371.3	410.0	294.1	348.0													397.9	430.8	498.5	549.9	576	610
(% change, previous year)	5.9	3.3	10.4	-28.3	18.3													14.3	8.3	15.7	10.3	4.7	5.9
Unemployment rate (%)	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
Real wage growth (%)	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
Consumer price index (% change, previous year)	3.9	5.6	1.8	1.1	4.3													0.8	4.2	2.8	2.4	3.5	3.8

Public Sector
Government balance (% GDP)	-6.5	5.0	-0.3	-3.2	-6.7													-5.6	-6.0	-3.2	-4.3	-4.0	-4.0
Domestic public sector debt (% GDP)	51.4	32.3	31.8	35.0	39.3													43.2	47.5	47.3	48.9	..	..

Foreign Trade, BOP and External Debt
Trade balance (Customs data, US$million)	-262	-192	-251	-205.2	-267.3	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	-266.1	-413.8	-630.2	-742.0	-754.2	-671.0
Trade balance (BoP data, million$US)	-244	-192	-120	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
Exports of goods (Customs data, US$million)	556.8	422.5	531.6	567.4	506.2	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	533.7	649.3	655.6	719.6	746.1	853.2
(% change, previous year)	-14.5	-24.1	25.8	6.7	-10.8													5.4	21.7	1.0	9.8	3.7	14.4
Exports of goods, (BoP data, $millionUS)	519	423	535	..														..	..	..	..	..	..
(% change, previous year)	-21.4	-18.5	26.5	..														..	..	..	..	..	..
Key export: Sugar (% change in value, previous year)	-31.2	-16.8	8.9	-17.8	-11.4													8.4	11.3	0.4	9.4	-9.6	-16.3
Imports of goods (Customs data, US$million)	818.9	614.6	782.1	772.6	773.5	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	799.9	1063.1	1285.8	1461.7	1500.3	1524.2
(% change, previous year)	-2.6	-25.0	27.3	-1.2	0.1													3.4	32.9	20.9	13.7	2.6	1.6
Imports of goods, (BoP data, $millionUS)	763	615	655	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
(% change, previous year)	-10.5	-19.4	6.5	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
Current account balance (US$million)	34.6	-8.6	-71.5	-47.4	-125.6	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	-2.7	-174.3	-448.3	-465.9	-384.7	-254.3
(percent GDP)	1.5	-0.5	-3.8	-2.9	-7.7	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	-0.2	-8.0	-17.4	-17.1	-13.2	-8.2
Foreign direct investment (US$million)	-7.3	70.4	-39.9	-20.1	39.9	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	19.7	22.7	91.0	-14.1	..	..
Total external debt (US$million)	227	225	261	258	241	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	225	281	357	357	353	..	..
(% GDP)	10.7	13.6	14.1	15.6	14.9	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	15.7	16.4	13.8	12.9	..	..
Short-term debt (US$million)	..	..	..	15.6	15.9	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	36.7	86.1	75.3	75.3	..	..
Debt service ratio (% exports of g&s)	3.3	4.4	3.4	3.0	2.0	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	1.9	1.7	1.7	1.8	..	..
Reserves, including gold (US$million)	361	386	421	412	366													359	424	478	315	249	..
(months of imports of goods and non factor services)	3.5	4.8	4.2	4.6	4.3	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	3.6	3.1	3.8	3.9	2.8	..

Financial Markets						0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2
Domestic credit (private, % change, previous year)	-13.0	5.8	6.6	0.2	-5.6													5.0	16.8	18.0	19.0	..	..
Short-term interest rate	1.4	2.0	2.0	2.3	1.25													1.25	1.19	1.75	1.75	..	..
Exchange rate (end-of-period)	1.55	1.99	1.97	2.19	2.31													2.06	1.72	1.65	1.74	..	..
Real effective exchange rate (2000=100 and + = appn)	122.0	101.4	101.6	100.0	100.5													100.8	107.6	109.8	109.2	..	..
(% change, previous year)	4.9	-16.9	0.3	-1.6	0.5													0.3	6.7	2.0	-0.5	..	..
Stock market index (end-period, Aug 88=100)	..	..	..	..	..													..	..	..	..	..	..

Memo: GDP in US$ million	2120	1652	1859	1653	1624													1797	2181	2582	2729	2923	3104


e = estimate
p = projection

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