East Asia Update ? November 2006
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Lao PDR: Key Indicators |
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2000 |
2001 |
2002 |
2003 |
2004 |
2005 /e |
2006 /p |
2007 /p |
2008 /p |
2009 /p |
2010 /p |
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Year |
Year |
Year |
Year |
Year |
Year |
Year |
Year |
Year |
Year |
Year |
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Output, Employment and Prices |
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| GDP
(% change previous year) |
5.8 |
5.8 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
6.4 |
7.0 |
7.3 |
6.6 |
6.5 |
5.7 |
7.4 |
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Industrial production index (1993=100) |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
| (% change, previous year) |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
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Unemployment rate (%) |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
| Real
wage growth (%) |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
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Consumer price index (% change, previous year) |
10.6 |
7.5 |
10.6 |
15.5 |
10.5 |
7.2 |
7.7 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
5.0 |
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Public Sector 1/ |
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| Government balance, after
grants (% GDP) |
-4.6 |
-4.4 |
-4.0 |
-5.7 |
-3.4 |
-3.2 |
-3.2 |
-2.7 |
-3.4 |
-3.1 |
-3.0 |
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Domestic public sector debt (% GDP) |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
.. |
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.. |
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Foreign Trade, BOP and External Debt |
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| Trade balance (US$ million) |
-375.7 |
-288.0 |
-263.0 |
-244.0 |
-478.0 |
-553.4 |
-394.1 |
-878.6 |
-387.0 |
-381.0 |
-224.0 |
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Exports of goods (US$ million) |
344.8 |
362.0 |
370.0 |
450.1 |
499.6 |
656.5 |
982.2 |
1004.4 |
918.0 |
938.0 |
1,117.0 |
| (% change, previous year) |
0.8 |
5.0 |
2.2 |
21.7 |
11.0 |
31.4 |
49.6 |
2.3 |
-8.6 |
2.2 |
19.1 |
| Key
Export (% change, previous year) |
21.4 |
6.8 |
1.7 |
22.1 |
10.8 |
32.6 |
53.6 |
2.1 |
.. |
.. |
.. |
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Imports of goods (US$ million) |
717.8 |
650.0 |
633.0 |
693.7 |
977.2 |
1209.9 |
1376.3 |
1883.0 |
1,305.0 |
1,318.0 |
1,342.0 |
| (% change, previous year) |
29.6 |
-9.4 |
-2.6 |
9.6 |
40.9 |
23.8 |
13.8 |
36.8 |
-30.7 |
1.0 |
1.8 |
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Current account balance (US$ million) |
-183.3 |
-145.9 |
-131.3 |
-174.6 |
-357.9 |
-573.0 |
-504.2 |
-934.5 |
-320.0 |
-276.0 |
-149.0 |
| (% GDP) |
-10.5 |
-8.3 |
-7.2 |
-8.2 |
-14.3 |
-19.9 |
-14.6 |
-24.9 |
-9.0 |
-7.0 |
-3.0 |
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Foreign direct investment (US$ million) |
31.0 |
24.0 |
60.0 |
42.0 |
234.1 |
349.0 |
302.8 |
784.9 |
222.0 |
151.0 |
21.0 |
| Total
external debt (million US$ million) |
1447.0 |
1458.0 |
1614.0 |
2171.0 |
2530.0 |
2910.0 |
3179.0 |
3428.0 |
3,652.0 |
3,788.0 |
3,802.0 |
| (% GDP) |
83.2 |
82.7 |
88.8 |
101.6 |
101.2 |
101.2 |
92.0 |
91.2 |
#REF! |
#REF! |
#REF! |
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Short-term debt (US$ million) |
107.4 |
126.5 |
150.6 |
71.9 |
95.3 |
108.6 |
118.7 |
128.0 |
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| Debt
service ratio (% exports of g&s) |
15.6 |
15.7 |
14.0 |
15.1 |
17.4 |
20.6 |
19.5 |
20.2 |
#REF! |
#REF! |
#REF! |
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Reserves, excluding gold ($US million) |
127.0 |
134.0 |
196.0 |
215.5 |
227.5 |
237.9 |
270.0 |
290.0 |
289.0 |
312.0 |
337.0 |
| (months of imports of goods and
services) 2/ |
2.6 |
2.9 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
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Financial Markets |
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Domestic credit (% change,
previous year) |
37.7 |
69.3 |
-48.0 |
10.5 |
20.6 |
18.8 |
.. |
.. |
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| Short-term interest rate 3/ |
29.9 |
22.7 |
21.4 |
24.9 |
16.0 |
15.0 |
.. |
.. |
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| Exchange rate (everage) |
7,856.7 |
8,913.0 |
10,115.0 |
10,571.9 |
10,613.1 |
10,671.0 |
10,292.8 |
10,586.8 |
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| Exchange rate (end-period) |
8,140.0 |
9,490.0 |
10,680.0 |
10,466.5 |
10,377.0 |
10,800.0 |
10,463.0 |
10,711.0 |
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| Real
effective exchange rate (2000=100 and + = appn) |
100.0 |
102.1 |
97.3 |
97.6 |
103.2 |
106.7 |
.. |
.. |
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| (% change, previous year) |
.. |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
.. |
.. |
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| Stock market index
(end-period, Aug 88=100) |
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.. |
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Memo: GDP (US$ million) |
1,740.0 |
1,762.0 |
1,818.1 |
2,137.6 |
2,500.7 |
2,874.9 |
3,454.3 |
3,757.9 |
1,165 |
1,202 |
1,400 |
| Exports of goods & services
(US$ million) |
517.7 |
530.8 |
543.4 |
597.6 |
686.6 |
885.2 |
1,248.6 |
1,289.6 |
#REF! |
#REF! |
#REF! |
| Key commodity exports (US$
million) |
305.2 |
326.0 |
331.7 |
404.9 |
448.4 |
594.7 |
913.1 |
932.4 |
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| Total debt service (US$
million) |
80.8 |
83.5 |
76.3 |
90.5 |
119.5 |
181.9 |
243.6 |
260.4 |
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1,447.1 |
1,457.9 |
1,614.2 |
2,171.2 |
2,530.0 |
2,909.8 |
3,178.5 |
3,428.4 |
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Sources: Recent IMF data and projections |
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| e =
estimate |
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| p =
projection |
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| 1/
Fiscal year basis |
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| 2/
Excluding large projects |
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| 3/
Treasury bill rate |
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