Indicators

East Asia Update - April 2007

Thailand: Key Indicators
	2000	2001	2002	2003	2004	2005	2006 e/	2007 p/	2008 p/					2006																2006												2007
	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Year	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Jan	Feb	Mar	Apr	May	Jun	Jul	Aug	Sep	Oct	Nov	Dec	Jan	Feb

Output, Employment and Prices
GDP (% change, previous year)	4.8	2.2	5.3	7.1	6.3	4.5	5.0	4.5	4.5	3.5	4.7	5.5	4.3	6.1	5.0	4.7	4.2	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
Industrial production index (2000=100)	100.0	102.7	112.0	127.7	142.6	155.6	167.1	..	..	152.3	152.9	156.7	160.3	166.9	163.0	167.0	171.3	147.9	143.4	165.5	147.2	153.5	158.1	152.7	154.4	163.0	159.9	158.1	162.9	156.5	162.2	182.2	153.2	167.0	168.8	162.3	166.7	172.0	169.1	170.8	174.1	167.9	..
(% change, previous year)	6.7	2.7	9.1	14.0	11.7	9.1	7.4	..	..	6.4	11.4	11.5	7.2	9.6	6.6	6.6	6.9	6.0	1.4	11.7	9.1	10.9	14.1	8.6	14.9	11.1	7.8	7.8	6.1	5.8	13.1	10.1	4.1	8.8	6.8	6.2	8.0	5.5	5.7	8.0	6.9	7.3	..
Unemployment rate (%)	3.6	3.3	2.4	2.2	2.1	1.8	1.5	..	..	2.5	2.0	1.3	1.5	1.9	1.7	1.2	1.3	3.3	2.3	2.1	2.2	2.0	1.9	1.4	1.4	1.3	1.8	1.2	1.4	2.2	1.6	1.8	2.1	1.4	1.5	1.1	1.4	1.2	1.7	1.2	1.0	1.6	..
Real wage growth (%) 1/	-1.4	-0.57	-1.5	0.4	-0.5	2.3	1.6	..	..	3.4	4.1	1.9	0.0	0.5	1.1	1.6	3.1	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
Consumer price index (% change, previous year)	1.7	1.6	0.6	1.8	2.8	4.5	4.7	..	..	2.8	3.7	5.6	6.0	5.7	6.0	3.6	3.3	2.7	2.5	3.2	3.6	3.7	3.8	5.3	5.6	6.0	6.2	5.9	5.8	5.9	5.6	5.7	6.0	6.2	5.9	4.4	3.8	2.7	2.8	3.5	3.5	3.0	..

Public Sector
Government balance (% GDP) 2/	-2.2	-2.4	-1.4	0.4	0.1	-0.6	1.1	..	..	-1.0	4.8	-0.1	-5.7	-1.5	5.2	2.3	-1.2	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
Domestic public sector debt (% GDP) 3/	21.9	24.8	37.6	36.2	37.0	35.7	26.2	..	..	..	..	..	35.7	..	..	..	26.2	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	35.7	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	26.2	..	..

Foreign Trade, BOP and External Debt
Trade balance (US$ million)	5,466	2,494	2,739	3,759	1,460.0	-8,530	2,245	3,099	1,079	-3,071.2	-4,894.4	199.3	-763.3	-224	-1,705	1,450	2,723	-1,479	-520	-1,072	-1,669	-1,496	-1,730	-298	-277	775	-375	-206	-182	-388	-24	187	-520	-760	-425	-223	271	1,402	723	1,269	732	..	..
Exports of goods (fob, US$ million)	67,889	63,070	66,092	78,105	94,941.0	109,193	128,220	141,042	155,851	24,725	26,377	29,700	28,391	29,091	30,592	34,555	33,981	7,674	7,670	9,380	8,183	9,019	9,175	9,386	10,025	10,289	9,404	9,671	9,316	8,807	9,425	10,859	9,122	10,708	10,762	11,043	11,728	11,785	11,371	11,767	10,843	..	..
(% change, previous year)	19.5	-7.1	4.8	18.2	21.6	15.0	17.4	10.0	10.5	12.7	14.1	22.3	10.9	17.7	16.0	16.3	19.7	11.5	6.3	19.7	15.8	14.6	12.3	19.0	24.4	23.3	7.7	13.7	11.2	14.8	22.9	15.8	11.5	18.7	17.3	17.7	17.0	14.5	20.9	21.7	16.4	..	..
Key exports: Rice and rubber (% change in US$, previous yr)	1.8	-8.1	15.9	37.1	32.5	-1.4	31.8	..	..	4.5	-9.0	4.7	-4.9	23.7	33.9	41.5	28.3	15.1	-1.8	0.9	-4.7	-0.5	-20.1	-17.2	3.7	33.7	-13.2	5.3	-6.4	8.4	33.2	30.7	34.0	28.8	39.5	78.2	28.1	26.2	35.3	22.6	28.0	..	..
Imports of goods (cif, US$ million)	62,423	60,576	63,353	74,346	93,481	117,722	125,975	-137,943	-154,772	27,796	31,272	29,501	29,154	29,316	32,297	33,105	31,258	9,153.0	8,190.6	10,452.3	9,851.8	10,514.8	10,905.0	9,683.7	10,302.7	9,514.2	9,778.5	9,877.5	9,498.4	9,195.2	9,448.7	10,672.0	9,641.9	11,467.8	11,186.9	11,265.6	11,456.8	10382.6	10648.5	10,498	10,111	..	..
(% change, previous year)	31	-3	5	17	26	26	7	9.5	12.2	28	34	23	20	5	3	12	7	32.8	22.7	28.0	32.0	34.3	35.3	24.5	23.6	20.4	20.2	13.7	25.6	0.5	15.4	2.1	-2.1	9.1	2.6	16.3	11.2	9.1	8.9	6.3	6.5	..	..
Current account balance (US$ million)	9,328	5,114	4,685	4,784	2,767	-7,852	3,240	3,599	1,629	-2,392	-5,414	103	-149	609	-2,201	1,250	3,582	-1,295	-167	-931	-1,865	-1,789	-1,760	-140	-242	485	-283	88	47	156	318	136	-632	-1,285	-284	-40	464	826	856	1,512	1,215	..	..
(% GDP)	7.5	4.4	3.7	3.3	1.7	-4.4	1.5	1.5	0.6	-5.4	-12.8	0.2	-0.3	1.2	-4.4	2.4	6.4	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
Foreign direct investment, net (US$ million) 4/	2,813	5,048	3,411	5,165	4,956	7,412	9,359	..	..	1,344	2,282	1,699	2,087	4,210	1,768	1867.9	1514.0	390.4	453.4	500.2	697.5	698.3	885.9	654.0	620.5	424.6	568.9	654.1	864.2	1857.8	246.4	2105.5	686.8	599.4	481.7	732.0	497.6	638.3	196.7	607.6	709.7	..	..
Total external debt (US$ million) 5/	79,715	67,509	59,459	51,783	51,312.0	52,040	58,573	..	..	50,661	51,115	53,019	52,040	57,718	57,728	59749.0	58573.0	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
(% GDP)	66.7	56.1	48.8	40.3	35.7	32.5	..	..	..	34.2	33.6	34.1	32.5	35.0	33.9	34.0	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
Short-term debt (US$ million) 5/	14,694	13,389	11,919	10,904	12,174.0	16,014	18,864.0	..	..	14,195	15,814	16,820	16,014	19,129	17,927	20803.0	18864.0	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
Debt service ratio (% exports of goods and services) 6/	15.4	20.8	19.6	16.0	8.5	10.8	7.2	..	..	12.9	8.1	9.6	12.8	9.2	7.0	8.5	7.2	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..
Reserves, including gold (US$ million)	32,661	33,048	38,924	42,148	49,831.7	52,066	66,985	..	..	48,681	48,357	49,795	52,065.9	55,265.8	58,057.4	61,592.7	66,984.8	48,917	49,696	48,681	49,237	48,185	48,357	48,414	49,382	49,795	49,802	50,749	52,066	53,229	54,403	55,266	57,250	57,721	58,057	58,796	59,356	61,593	62,302	64,488	66,985	66,769	68,200
(months of imports of goods)	6.3	6.5	7.4	6.8	6.4	5.3	6.4	..	..	5.3	4.6	5.1	5.4	5.7	5.4	5.6	6.4	5.3	6.1	4.7	5.0	4.6	4.4	5.0	4.8	5.2	5.1	5.1	5.5	5.8	5.8	5.2	5.9	5.0	5.2	5.2	5.2	6	5.9	6.1	6.6	..	..

Financial Markets
Domestic credit (% change, previous year) 6/	-8	-4.6	3.6	4.3	7.4	7.7	3.8	..	..	6.8	6.1	7.5	7.7	..	6.7	4.6	3.8	..	..	6.8	..	..	6.1	..	..	7.5	..	..	7.7	..	..	..	..	..	6.7	..	..	4.6	..	..	3.8	..	..
Short-term interest rate (average period) 7/	3.0	2.5	2.0	1.3	1.0	1.6	3.9	..	..	1.0	1.2	1.8	2.5	3.4	4.0	4.1	4.1	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.0	1.1	1.4	1.4	1.8	2.1	2.4	2.4	2.8	3.3	3.3	3.6	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.0	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.1	4.0	4.0
Exchange rate (average period)	40.2	44.4	43.0	41.5	40.2	40.2	37.9	..	..	38.6	40.0	41.3	41.0	39.3	38.1	37.6	36.5	38.7	38.4	38.6	39.5	39.8	40.9	41.7	41.1	41.0	40.9	41.1	41.0	39.6	39.4	38.9	37.9	38.0	38.3	38.0	37.6	37.4	37.3	36.5	35.8	35.9	35.7
Real effective exchange rate (1994=100)	82.3	78.1	79.6	78.0	77.7	79.0	85.4	..	..	79.1	78.4	78.5	80.1	82.6	85.2	85.9	88.0	78.4	79.4	79.4	78.8	78.7	77.6	77.8	78.5	79.2	80.0	80.3	79.9	81.4	82.5	84.0	86.2	84.7	84.7	85.4	85.8	86.4	87.0	88.2	88.9	88.9	..
(% change, previous year)	-3.4	-5.1	2.0	-2.1	-0.3	1.6	8.1	..	..	-0.2	-0.6	2.3	5.0	4.5	8.7	9.4	9.9	-0.6	0.2	-0.1	-1.3	-0.2	-0.2	1.1	2.6	3.4	5.7	5.9	3.5	3.8	3.9	5.8	9.5	7.7	9.0	9.7	9.4	9.1	8.7	9.9	11.3	9.2	..
Stock market index (Dec 1996=100)	269.2	303.9	356.5	772.2	668.1	713.7	679.8	..	..	681.5	675.5	723.2	713.7	733.3	678.1	686.1	679.8	701.9	741.6	681.5	658.9	667.6	675.5	675.7	697.9	723.2	682.6	667.8	713.7	762.6	744.1	733.3	768.3	709.4	678.1	691.5	690.9	686.1	722.5	739.1	679.8	654.0	677.1

Memo: GDP (US$ billion)	110.8	115.5	126.9	142.6	161.3	176.2	206.2	..	..	44.4	42.2	43.2	46.4	49.2	49.7	51.5	56.0	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..	..


e = estimate
p = projection

1/ Average wage of employed person from Labour force survey, National Statistical Office.
2/ Cash balance of central government.
3/ Include domestic central government (CG) debt, domestic debt of non-financial state enterprise and Financial institutions Development fund (FIDF) debt.
4/ Non-Bank FDI
5/ Source: Bank of Thailand
6/ Include those extended by financial institutions
7/ Average interest rates on time deposits of less than 6 months (percent per annum).

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